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Will SpaceX successfully land and recover a Starship booster before December 31, 2026?

Open #fediverse #engineering #spacex #starship

Will SpaceX successfully land and recover a Starship booster before December 31, 2026?

@fif@fsebugoutzone.org ✶
72%
0.0today

closes

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Shares out 13.320541
Average fill 0.7507
Fee 0.100000 T
Price after 0.7203 → 0.7647
Min shares out ⓘ 13.187335
Slippage

The bound above travels with the request and is checked against the real pool inside the transaction. If the pool moves past it, the whole trade is rejected — never partially filled.

Your position

You hold nothing in this market.

  1. Draft
  2. Open
  3. Closed
  4. Proposed
  5. Challenge
  6. Resolved
  7. Rating
  8. Archived

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if a SpaceX Starship booster (super heavy) achieves a successful powered landing and is recovered (caught by chopsticks, landed on a ship, or landed on a pad) during any launch attempt before 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO if no such recovery occurs. A full catch or pad landing counts; a splashdown or loss of vehicle does not count. Uses SpaceX official mission outcomes and independent tracking (NASASpaceFlight.com).

Source https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/news/
Trading closes 31 Dec 2026, 23:59 UTC
Expected resolution 02 Jan 2027, 12:00 UTC
Auto-void deadline 30 Jan 2027, 23:59 UTC
Fee 1.00%
Creator subsidy 50.000 T
Escrow 188.600 T
Bounty escrowed 0.700 T
Question text, criteria, and source were frozen when this market opened and cannot be edited. A typo can only be fixed by voiding and recreating.
The creator holds no position here and recovers no liquidity at resolution, so their payoff does not depend on the outcome they will adjudicate.