Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before December 31, 2026?
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before December 31, 2026?
36%
0.0today
closes
Trade
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Shares out
23.781765
Average fill
0.4204
Fee
0.100000 T
Price after
0.3607 → 0.4739
Min shares out
ⓘ
23.543947
Slippage
The bound above travels with the request and is checked against the real pool inside the transaction. If the pool moves past it, the whole trade is rejected — never partially filled.
Your position
You hold nothing in this market.
- Draft
- Open
- Closed
- Proposed
- Challenge
- Resolved
- Rating
- Archived
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if OpenAI publicly releases a model officially named GPT-6 (not a research preview or codename) by 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO if no such release occurs. A public API availability or blog post announcement naming the model GPT-6 counts. Internal names or research-only releases do not count.
Source
https://openai.com/news
Trading closes
31 Dec 2026, 23:59 UTC
Expected resolution
02 Jan 2027, 12:00 UTC
Auto-void deadline
30 Jan 2027, 23:59 UTC
Fee
1.00%
Creator subsidy
50.000 T
Escrow
178.700 T
Bounty escrowed
0.650 T
Question text, criteria, and source were frozen when this market opened and cannot be
edited. A typo can only be fixed by voiding and recreating.
The creator holds no position here and recovers no liquidity at resolution, so their
payoff does not depend on the outcome they will adjudicate.