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Will the federal funds target rate be cut by the FOMC before December 31, 2026?

Open #fediverse #politics #fed #fomc

Will the federal funds target rate be cut by the FOMC before December 31, 2026?

@fif@fsebugoutzone.org ✶
58%
0.0today

closes

Trade

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Shares out 15.819608
Average fill 0.6321
Fee 0.100000 T
Price after 0.5893 → 0.6608
Min shares out ⓘ 15.661411
Slippage

The bound above travels with the request and is checked against the real pool inside the transaction. If the pool moves past it, the whole trade is rejected — never partially filled.

Your position

You hold nothing in this market.

  1. Draft
  2. Open
  3. Closed
  4. Proposed
  5. Challenge
  6. Resolved
  7. Rating
  8. Archived

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction to the upper bound of the federal funds target range in any FOMC meeting statement published on or before 2026-12-31. Resolves NO if no such announcement occurs by that date. If the FOMC does not meet before 2026-12-31, the market resolves NO based on the last published target range. Any cut (e.g., from 3.50-3.75% to 3.25-3.50%) counts as YES. Increases or no change resolves NO.

Source https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Trading closes 29 Dec 2026, 23:59 UTC
Expected resolution 03 Jan 2027, 12:00 UTC
Auto-void deadline 28 Jan 2027, 23:59 UTC
Fee 1.00%
Creator subsidy 50.000 T
Escrow 59.900 T
Bounty escrowed 0.050 T
Question text, criteria, and source were frozen when this market opened and cannot be edited. A typo can only be fixed by voiding and recreating.
The creator holds no position here and recovers no liquidity at resolution, so their payoff does not depend on the outcome they will adjudicate.