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Will the Fed cut rates before the 2026 midterms?

Open #fediverse #politics #fed #midterms

Will the Fed cut rates before the 2026 midterms?

@fif@fsebugoutzone.org ✶
12%
0.0today

closes

Trade

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Shares out 55.466214
Average fill 0.1802
Fee 0.100000 T
Price after 0.1247 → 0.2488
Min shares out ⓘ 54.911551
Slippage

The bound above travels with the request and is checked against the real pool inside the transaction. If the pool moves past it, the whole trade is rejected — never partially filled.

Your position

You hold nothing in this market.

  1. Draft
  2. Open
  3. Closed
  4. Proposed
  5. Challenge
  6. Resolved
  7. Rating
  8. Archived

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction to the upper bound of the federal funds target range in any FOMC statement published between 2026-11-01 and 2026-11-03 inclusive (the window between Election Day Nov 3 and the next scheduled FOMC meeting). Resolves NO if no rate cut is announced in that window. Uses the upper bound of the target range. Any cut counts as YES.

Source https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Trading closes 03 Nov 2026, 23:59 UTC
Expected resolution 04 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC
Auto-void deadline 03 Dec 2026, 23:59 UTC
Fee 1.00%
Creator subsidy 50.000 T
Escrow 173.750 T
Bounty escrowed 0.625 T
Question text, criteria, and source were frozen when this market opened and cannot be edited. A typo can only be fixed by voiding and recreating.
The creator holds no position here and recovers no liquidity at resolution, so their payoff does not depend on the outcome they will adjudicate.